Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001161 0.001220 0.001281 0.001347 0.001418 0.001491 0.001573
2025-07-13 0.001044 0.001126 0.001214 0.001313 0.001424 0.001543 0.001682
2025-07-20 0.000981 0.001080 0.001189 0.001317 0.001463 0.001626 0.001823
2025-07-27 0.000934 0.001047 0.001173 0.001325 0.001503 0.001708 0.001962
2025-08-03 0.000901 0.001025 0.001166 0.001340 0.001549 0.001795 0.002110
2025-08-10 0.000864 0.000996 0.001148 0.001338 0.001572 0.001854 0.002224
2025-08-17 0.000818 0.000952 0.001109 0.001309 0.001559 0.001866 0.002277
2025-08-24 0.000782 0.000919 0.001081 0.001291 0.001558 0.001891 0.002348
2025-08-31 0.000758 0.000900 0.001069 0.001292 0.001579 0.001944 0.002454
2025-09-07 0.000730 0.000873 0.001047 0.001277 0.001579 0.001969 0.002524
2025-09-14 0.000706 0.000851 0.001028 0.001266 0.001583 0.001998 0.002600
2025-09-21 0.000683 0.000828 0.001009 0.001254 0.001583 0.002022 0.002668
2025-09-28 0.000658 0.000804 0.000988 0.001240 0.001583 0.002048 0.002747
2025-10-05 0.000628 0.000773 0.000957 0.001211 0.001562 0.002045 0.002782
2025-10-12 0.000613 0.000761 0.000950 0.001214 0.001586 0.002104 0.002914
2025-10-19 0.000601 0.000752 0.000946 0.001222 0.001615 0.002172 0.003061
2025-10-26 0.000592 0.000746 0.000947 0.001235 0.001652 0.002255 0.003236
2025-11-02 0.000578 0.000733 0.000937 0.001234 0.001667 0.002304 0.003360
2025-11-09 0.000556 0.000709 0.000911 0.001207 0.001645 0.002296 0.003391
2025-11-16 0.000539 0.000691 0.000893 0.001192 0.001638 0.002309 0.003457
2025-11-23 0.000529 0.000681 0.000886 0.001192 0.001655 0.002360 0.003589
2025-11-30 0.000514 0.000665 0.000870 0.001179 0.001650 0.002376 0.003663
2025-12-07 0.000501 0.000652 0.000858 0.001169 0.001650 0.002400 0.003750